Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.002988 0.003283 0.003596 0.003956 0.004358 0.004793 0.005302
2026-02-01 0.002499 0.002914 0.003387 0.003970 0.004670 0.005490 0.006527
2026-02-08 0.002181 0.002646 0.003202 0.003919 0.004827 0.005948 0.007450
2026-02-15 0.001936 0.002423 0.003026 0.003836 0.004904 0.006281 0.008215
2026-02-22 0.001786 0.002296 0.002949 0.003854 0.005094 0.006757 0.009194
2026-03-01 0.001695 0.002234 0.002942 0.003956 0.005393 0.007392 0.010445
2026-03-08 0.001560 0.002099 0.002824 0.003890 0.005446 0.007680 0.011214
2026-03-15 0.001441 0.001975 0.002710 0.003816 0.005473 0.007923 0.011929
2026-03-22 0.001353 0.001886 0.002636 0.003791 0.005567 0.008266 0.012824
2026-03-29 0.001293 0.001834 0.002610 0.003831 0.005757 0.008768 0.014019
2026-04-05 0.001213 0.001746 0.002523 0.003772 0.005785 0.009011 0.014800
2026-04-12 0.001145 0.001671 0.002452 0.003729 0.005833 0.009286 0.015659
2026-04-19 0.001076 0.001594 0.002375 0.003677 0.005871 0.009565 0.016585
2026-04-26 0.001028 0.001544 0.002338 0.003690 0.006020 0.010047 0.017948
2026-05-03 0.000970 0.001478 0.002270 0.003643 0.006061 0.010343 0.018987
2026-05-10 0.000912 0.001406 0.002188 0.003566 0.006042 0.010524 0.019818
2026-05-17 0.000877 0.001370 0.002162 0.003584 0.006191 0.011027 0.021355
2026-05-24 0.000860 0.001360 0.002180 0.003677 0.006486 0.011834 0.023623
2026-05-31 0.000815 0.001304 0.002114 0.003617 0.006486 0.012064 0.024678
2026-06-07 0.000773 0.001248 0.002046 0.003548 0.006464 0.012246 0.025648
2026-06-14 0.000741 0.001209 0.002005 0.003525 0.006530 0.012611 0.027077
2026-06-21 0.000721 0.001189 0.001996 0.003562 0.006716 0.013244 0.029216
2026-06-28 0.000688 0.001145 0.001942 0.003508 0.006711 0.013469 0.030397